How Jerome Powell navigated pandemic, inflation and Trump (axios.com)

In his eight years at the helm of America's central bank, Jerome Hayden Powell has guided the U.S. economy through extreme tumult and fought off unprecedented presidential efforts to undermine the Federal Reserve's independence. But that's not what I'll tell my now-young children about Powell once they're old enough to care about central bankers. The big picture: It is Powell's approach to duty and public service that is his ultimate legacy as a leader and that will shape his place in history. The specific highs and lows of his chairmanship, which ends Friday, flow from an underlying sensibility that seems almost from another time. In an era when attention, outrage, and spectacle are the currency of the realm, he put his head down and did the work. Zoom out: For the better part of the last decade, I've either watched on a screen or been physically present for pretty much everything Powell has said in public. Two sentences stick most in my memory. April 2020: The world was on lockdown, the unemployment rate was nearly 15%, GDP was in free fall, and the future appeared bleak. "None of us has the luxury of choosing our challenges; fate and history provide them for us," Powell said. "Our job is to meet the tests we are presented." What follows is an assessment of how Powell attempted to do just that — and the successes and failures along the way. Powell's first press conference in March 2018. Photo: Alex Wong/Getty Images The accidental Fed chair Just weeks before President Trump nominated him to the chair in 2017, I surveyed a group of astute Fed watchers on who would get the nod — and their consensus put Powell at a whopping 5%. Powell has no advanced training as an economist and was not a close adviser to any of the three presidents who appointed him to the Fed. His ascent to the top ranks of global economic policy is, instead, a story of hard work and being ready when the moment called upon him. Zoom in: Powell, a career Wall Street lawyer and dealmaker, was semi-retired when President Obama named him a governor in 2011. Powell was also a Republican, albeit of a different era; he had served in President George H.W. Bush's Treasury Department. He became a workhorse on the Fed Board of Governors under chair Janet Yellen, helping run the central bank's payment systems and other under-the-radar nitty-gritty. In Powell , Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin found a Fed chair candidate who knew how the Fed worked, would largely continue the stimulative monetary policies of the Yellen era, and fit Trump's desire for appointments out of "central casting." Trump would soon sour on Powell as the Fed pushed toward raising interest rates over the course of 2018. But presidential attacks notwithstanding, the Powell Fed played a major role in both the remarkable prosperity of the circa-2019 Trump economy and in preventing a much more devastating economic collapse from the pandemic. Powell, left, in Jackson Hole in August 2018. Photo: David Paul Morris/Bloomberg v